问HN：在未来10年内，会有其他技术取代变压器和GPU吗？
我不知道为什么，但我有一种感觉，巨额资金（如NVIDIA的市值达到数万亿，数十亿投入到基于大型语言模型的公司）是由一个单一的想法支撑的，而这个想法最终可能会被完全不同的范式或新的大型语言模型方法所取代，这可能会在几个月内使这一切变得毫无价值。
需要明确的是，我并不是说这个想法没有重大影响，我实际上认为这是一次革命。自从2017年《Attention Is All You Need》发布以来，一切都发生了快速变化，但我也感觉到，研究领域可能会以类似的方式出现另一个突破。
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I don't know why but I have the feeling that a huge amount of money (NVIDIA worth trillions, billions dumped into LLM-based companies) is supported by a single idea that might eventually be replaced by a completely different paradigm or by a new approach to LLMs that could make all of this worth nothing in a matter of months.<p>To be clear, I’m not saying this isn’t a super impactful idea and I actually think it's a revolution. Since Attention Is All You Need came out in 2017, everything has changed fast but it’s just that I also feel that another breakthrough from research could appear in a similar way.