问HN：美国参战对你们的AGI时间表有何影响？
自从ChatGPT发布以来，AGI（通用人工智能）的时间表发生了显著变化，这一点在HN（黑客新闻）上的每个人都非常熟悉。美国是否会进入一场潜在的漫长而戏剧性的战争，伴随着巨大的不确定性，这会影响AGI的到来吗？
我可以想象战争可能加速AGI的发展（AGI变得更像是曼哈顿计划），也可能显著减缓其进程（因为战争浪费了资源和能源，甚至更糟……）。
我很好奇大家的看法，你们的时间表是变长了、变短了，还是认为AGI将完全不受影响？
（假设这种情况不会在几周内平息/迅速通过外交手段解决。）
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AGI timelines having been altered dramatically since the release of ChatGPT is something everyone on HN is more than familiar with.
Will the US entering a potentially lengthy and dramatic war with immense uncertainty affect the onset of AGI?<p>I can imagine cases for AGI being sped up by the war (AGI becoming even more akin to the Manhattan Project) or being dramatically slowed (because of resources and energy wasted on war or worse...)<p>I'm curious what everyone thinks, are your timelines longer, shorter, or do you think AGI will be completely unaffected?<p>(Assume that this situation doesn't blowover in a few weeks/is swifty diplomatically resolved)