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我最近注意到了一些事情。在过去两年里，大部分科技行业一直处于收缩状态。我们看到各大公司裁员，重心转向核心业务优先事项，以及对任何非直接可盈利项目的普遍怀疑。研发经费减少，“登月计划”变成了笑话。人们变得谨慎——这也是情有可原的。但现在，情况发生了变化。这种变化悄然无声，几乎在背景中进行。我们看到新奇工作的回归。不仅仅是在初创公司。在大型科技公司中也是如此。我认为发生了以下几件事情：大型科技公司正在重新招聘。不是无差别地招聘，也不是为了重建他们刚刚裁掉的那些层级。他们在有选择地招聘——寻找能够帮助他们探索的人。因为一些新的机会正在出现。像GPT-4o（o3）这样的工具改变了游戏规则。曾经需要几个月的准备时间——研究一个领域、运行原型、测试假设——现在可以在一周内完成。如果你积极应用这个模型，特别是使用针对新奇的提示，它不仅仅是一个生产力工具，更是一个发现引擎。它缩短了从想法到可行性的时间。这种压缩是重要的。它创造了战略紧迫感。大型科技公司感受到了这种紧迫感。当全新的机会出现时——新的用户体验范式、新的AI原生工作流程、新的消费者行为——仅仅优化现有产品线是不够的。你必须抢先一步。而为此，你需要那些能够在不确定空间中工作的人。他们不怕模糊，能够横向融合想法，并适度交付以证明下一步的方向。有趣的是，正是那些在一年前缩减了前沿研发团队的公司，现在却在悄悄地重建这些团队——因为前沿本身已经发生了变化。这不仅仅是关于招聘。我们还看到资本重新回到探索性工作中。AI原生的创始人们再次通过叙事筹集资金——基于信念，而不仅仅是收入。他们之所以能做到这一点，是因为测试的时间缩短了。他们可以在一个月内探索四个产品方向，并知道哪个方向有市场。这种杠杆效应吸引了资本的回流。所以，是的，“科技衰退”已经结束。但这并不是旧意义上的周期重置。资本的回归不仅仅是资金的回流，而是想象力的回归。接下来将由那些能够快速探索、低成本失败并跨界综合的人来构建。如果这就是你——那么现在就是你的时刻。

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I’ve been noticing something lately.For the past two years, most of the tech sector has been in contraction mode. We saw layoffs across the board, a shift to core business priorities, and a general skepticism toward anything that wasn’t directly monetizable. R&D dried up. “Moonshots” became punchlines. People got cautious—and reasonably so.But something has shifted. And it’s happening quietly, almost in the background.We’re seeing the return of novelty work.Not just in startups. In big tech.Here’s what I think is going on:Large tech companies are re-hiring. Not indiscriminately, and not to rebuild the same layers they just cut. They’re hiring selectively—for people who can help them explore.Because something new has opened up.Tools like GPT-4o (o3) have changed the map. What once required months of ramp-up—studying a domain, running prototypes, testing hypotheses—can now happen in a week. If you apply the model aggressively, especially with novelty-directed prompts, it becomes not just a productivity tool, but a discovery engine. It collapses time between an idea and its plausibility.That compression matters. It creates strategic urgency.Big tech is feeling that urgency. When entirely new opportunity surfaces—new UX paradigms, new AI-native workflows, new consumer behaviors—it’s not enough to optimize existing product lines. You have to get there first. And for that, you need people who know how to work in undefined spaces. Who aren’t afraid of ambiguity. Who can fuse ideas laterally and ship just enough to prove what’s next.In a strange twist, the very same companies that downsized their frontier R&D teams a year ago are now quietly building them back—because the frontier itself just moved.This isn’t just about hiring.We’re also seeing capital return to exploratory work. AI-native founders are raising on narrative again—on conviction, not just revenue. And they’re doing it because the time-to-test has shortened. They can explore four product directions in a month and know which one has a market. That kind of leverage pulls capital back in.So yes, the “tech recession” is over. But it’s not a cycle reset in the old sense. It’s not simply capital returning—it’s imagination returning.What comes next will be built by those who are comfortable exploring fast, failing cheaply, and synthesizing across boundaries.If that’s you—this is your time.

科技衰退结束：新颖工作的回归