风帆冲浪策略:如何一个2800万美元的转型变成了24亿美元的谷歌收购
“我认为创业公司就像是不断被人扇耳光,”Varun Mohan在谷歌以24亿美元收购他的团队几个月前对Y Combinator说道。7月11日至12日的周末证明,有时候这些耳光会将你引向财富。
OpenAI的30亿美元Windsurf交易在周五破裂。到了周一,谷歌就收购了创始人。
这个故事揭示了创业公司之间有趣的动态:
* **2800万美元的转型(2022年)**:Windsurf在GPU虚拟化领域表现出色——200万美元的收入,8名员工,盈利。然后GPT-3.5发布了。“那个周末,我和我的联合创始人进行了对话……我们在周一告诉了公司其他人,大家从周一开始就投入到新项目中。”
* **执行速度**:从转型到发布VS Code扩展仅用了2个月。这个免费产品吸引了超过100万开发者。像摩根大通这样的企业客户在几个季度内跟进。
* **评估优势**:“代码可以利用代码的一个特性,它可以被正确运行……你可以拿开源项目,找到附带测试的提交。”他们建立了严格的评估标准,而竞争对手则依赖于直觉。
* **哲学**:“我们所拥有的每一个洞察都是一个贬值的洞察。”对变得无关紧要的持续恐惧推动了创新周期。
收购结构很有意思——谷歌支付的是人才/许可费用,而不是股权。这与Character AI(27亿美元)、Scale AI(148亿美元)、Inflection AI(6.5亿美元)类似。这是避免反垄断的同时获取AI能力的新策略。
更大的问题是:Cursor会是下一个吗?编程空间正在爆炸(Base44在6个月后以8000万美元被Wix收购),但可持续的护城河仍不明确。
完整分析以及更多Varun的引用和战略影响请见:https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/atomic-shifts-billion-dollar-movement-windsurf-gambit-schwentker-3qkbc
你对“反向收购”的趋势有什么看法?聪明的人才策略还是反垄断的逃避?
查看原文
I think startups are basically like getting slapped in the face probably over and over again," Varun Mohan told Y Combinator just months before Google paid $2.4B for his team. The weekend of July 11-12 proved that sometimes those slaps redirect you toward fortune.<p>OpenAI's $3B Windsurf deal collapsed Friday. By Monday, Google had the founders.<p>The backstory reveals fascinating startup dynamics:<p>*The $28M Pivot (2022)*: Windsurf was crushing it in GPU virtualization - $2M revenue, 8 employees, profitable. Then GPT-3.5 dropped. "Weekend me and my co-founder had a conversation... we told the rest of the company on Monday and everyone started working on the new thing starting Monday."<p>*Speed of execution*: 2 months from pivot to shipping VS Code extension. Free product hit 1M+ developers. Enterprise customers like JP Morgan followed within quarters.<p>*The evaluation edge*: "Code you can leverage a property of code which it can be run right... you can take open source projects and find commits with tests attached." They built rigorous evals while competitors relied on vibes.<p>*Philosophy*: "Every single insight that we have is a depreciating insight." Constant paranoia about becoming irrelevant drove innovation cycles.<p>The acquisition structure is telling - Google paid for talent/licensing, not equity. Similar to Character AI ($2.7B), Scale AI ($14.8B), Inflection AI ($650M). New playbook for avoiding antitrust while acquiring AI capabilities.<p>Bigger question: Is Cursor next? The vibe coding space is exploding (Base44 → $80M Wix acquisition after 6 months), but sustainable moats remain unclear.<p>Full analysis with more Varun quotes and strategic implications: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/atomic-shifts-billion-dollar-movement-windsurf-gambit-schwentker-3qkbc/<p>What's your take on the "reverse acquihire" trend? Smart talent strategy or antitrust evasion?