问HN:我们是否应该停止担心人工智能会取代开发者的工作?

2作者: _pdp_5 个月前原帖
更长的标题:我们是否应该停止担心人工智能会取代开发者的工作,而是开始思考我们如何招聘更多的开发者? 大家好, 我不能是唯一一个注意到人工智能编码代理让我们的工作量增加,而不是减少的人。 让我来分享一个一直困扰我的数学问题。如果一个开发者以前每天写100行代码(举例说明),但现在人工智能写了90%的代码,那么你可能会认为工作量会减少到10行,对吧?但我发现,工作范围却大幅扩大。开发者现在每天总共能写出1000行代码,虽然你可能会说人工智能写了90%的代码,但我们仍然在处理100行复杂的内容。 以前看起来过于昂贵的每一个功能,现在突然变得可行。每一个原型都变成了生产系统。瓶颈从输入转移到了思考,但思考的负担却增加了10倍。我们也单独提高了那10%部分的需求,而这部分的扩展并不像机器那样容易。 难道我不是唯一注意到这一点的人吗?
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Longer title: Should we stop worrying that AI will replace developer jobs and instead start thinking how we are going to hire more developers?<p>Hi folks,<p>I can&#x27;t be the only one noticing that AI coding agents are making us work more, not less.<p>Here&#x27;s the math that&#x27;s been bugging me. If a developer used to write 100 lines of code per day (illustrative) but now AI writes 90% of the code, so you&#x27;d think that the load will go down to 10 lines, right? What I find is that the scope has exploded. Developers are now able to crank 1000 lines per day total and while you may say that AI writes 90% of them we are still writing 100 lines of the hard stuff.<p>Every feature that seemed too expensive before is suddenly doable. Every prototype becomes production system. The bottleneck shifted from typing to thinking, but the thinking load just got 10x bigger. We have also single-handedly increased the demand of that 10% chunk which is not as easy to scale as machines. Am I the only one noticing this?