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请问HN：关于文明中经济增长停滞的理论

2 分•作者: davidajackson•5 个月前•原帖
我有一个理论，认为经济增长或以复合年增长率（CAGR）来衡量的经济将在未来趋近于0%或与人口增长呈线性关系。在我看来，这与生活方式改善的机会趋近于0是一致的（我们已经拥有互联网，已经有食物、住所等），因此没有新的市场可供开发，也没有新的商业模式可以创造。 这个话题是否在某个地方被讨论或辩论过？有没有人持有相同的理论并进行过数学预测？
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I have had a theory for a while that economic growth or the economy in terms of CAGR will go to 0% or becomes linear with population as the population grows. This in my mind aligns with the opportunities for lifestyle improvements going to 0 (we already have the internet, we already have food, shelter etc.) so this is no new market to cover&#x2F;no new businesses to invent?<p>Has this topic been discussed or debated anywhere? Has anyone with this same theory done any mathematical projections?