问HN:这是快速起飞吗?

3作者: noduerme1 天前原帖
想象一下,你在1996年阅读了一篇《连线》杂志的文章,设想了以下情景:<p>(1) 股市持续上涨,而唯一的增长和资本支出都集中在人工智能领域<p>(2) 大规模裁员,许多人工工作岗位消失<p>(3) 由于数据中心的爆炸性增长,资源消耗激增<p>你会认为人类及其易出错的系统是通过一系列意外和贪婪的投资导致了这一切吗?就像我们在经历了郁金香泡沫、铁路泡沫、垃圾债券、Web 1.0等之后,似乎已经准备好相信的那样?<p>如果到了2025年11月,萨姆口袋里有一个通用人工智能,正在利用所有这些资金来发展自己,情况会显得多么不同呢?
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Imagine you read an article in Wired in 1996 envisioning the following:<p>(1) Stock market keeps rallying while the only growth and capex is in AI<p>(2) Mass layoffs of human workers<p>(3) Giant spike in resource consumption caused by explosive growth in datacenters<p>Would you think humans and their error-prone systems had led to this by a series of accidents and greedy investments? As I think we are primed to believe after tulips, railroads, junk bonds, Web 1.0, etc?<p>How different would it look right now in November of 2025 if Sam had an AGI in pocket that was using all that money to grow itself?