问HN：你是否担心在未来几年内，人工智能会让你失去就业机会？
在Hacker News和Twitter上，大家的共识是没有人感到害怕。人们承认初级工程师和研究生可能是受影响最大的群体，但他们似乎仍然认为自己的处境是可持续的。我的问题是，这是否只是人们的美好愿望和人性的一部分，试图抵抗不可避免的现实？我之所以这样问，是因为我真的看不到未来还有大量程序员的前景。我看到的是程序员的大规模失业。人们处于否认状态，所有关于人工智能无法在不犯错误的情况下编写代码的说法，一旦有AI可能在一夜之间发布并能编写无瑕疵代码，这些说法就不再成立。Claude 4.5就是一个很好的例子。我真的看不到任何有效的论据表明这项技术不会发展到使这份工作变得无关紧要的地步，甚至不仅仅是无关紧要，而是完全改变经济格局。
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On Hacker News and Twitter, the consensus view is that no one is afraid. People concede that junior engineers and grad students might be the most affected. But, they still seem to hold on to their situations as being sustainable. My question is, is this just a part of wishful thinking and human nature, trying to combat the inevitable? The reason I ask is because I seriously don't see a future where there's a bunch of programmers anymore. I see mass unemployment for programmers. People are in denial, and all of these claims that the AI can't write code without making mistakes are no longer valid once an AI is released potentially overnight, that writes flawless code. Claude 4.5 is a good example. I just really don't see any valid arguments that the technology is not going to get to a point where it makes the job irrelevant, not irrelevant, but completely changes the economics.