不是工具，而是双手——对《一些重大事情正在发生》的回应
马特·舒默的文章指出，50%的入门级白领工作将在1到5年内消失。虽然软件工程师面临的变化速度确实很快，但“只需输入提示”的说法具有误导性。如果提示是关键，那么知道该构建什么以及深入理解问题就显得更加重要，而不是相反。构建简单软件可能会变得商品化，但构建复杂系统以及理解其工作原理的能力将变得更加有价值。我们还需要停止将构建软件与构建人工智能系统混为一谈——后者并没有被商品化。最后，如果代理能够快速独立地行动，那么价值的支点就变成了操作员如何有效管理它们。我们距离设定广泛目标并让系统自主追求这些目标几个月的时间还远得很。只要最终用户是人类，品味、判断和监督仍然至关重要。
就像AI之前的一切：关键不在于工具，而在于使用工具的双手。
原文链接：https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/something-big-happening-matt-shumer-so5he
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Matt Shumer's piece argues 50% of entry-level white-collar jobs disappear in 1-5 years. While the pace of change for software engineers is real, the "just prompt it" narrative is misleading. If the prompt is what matters, then knowing what to build and deeply understanding the problem matters more, not less. Building simple software may become commoditized, but building complex systems and understanding how they work becomes more valuable. We also need to stop conflating building software with building AI systems — the latter isn't getting commoditized. Finally, if agents can move fast and independently, the fulcrum of value becomes how effectively the operator manages them. We're nowhere near assigning broad goals and letting systems pursue them autonomously for months. As long as the end user is human, taste, judgment, and oversight remain crucial.<p>Like everything before AI: it isn't the tool, but the hands.<p>Original article: https://www.linkedin.com/pulse/something-big-happening-matt-shumer-so5he