问HN:如果“人工智能泡沫”破裂,真的会那么戏剧性吗?

6作者: moomoo11大约 1 个月前原帖
我正在为一个庞大的行业开发软件,但在这个行业中,实际上并不需要人工智能。至少,不需要等同于大型语言模型(LLM)的人工智能。 在我进一步阐述之前,我想先表明,我确实喜欢人工智能编程助手。它们作为辅助工具非常出色。 人们说,如果人工智能泡沫破裂,经济就会崩溃。好吧,我的意思是,M7肯定会受到重创,但其他人呢?事情将在几年内恢复。我们可不是走捷径才熬到公元2026年。 你仍然需要去看医生,货物仍然需要送达,房屋需要建设,我们需要钻探石油,人们仍然需要吃饭。不幸的是,我们仍然需要数百万的管理员,因为人类并不是简单的0/1系统。 我是不是疯了,竟然觉得事情可能不会那么糟?仍然有无数的事情需要做,也许(你可以说我傻,随便)如果我们意识到投机泡沫是绝对具有破坏性的,并且不值得追求,这将是我们物种的一个良好转折点。 我不需要一个私人助理来帮我打电话预定餐厅,我当然也不关心人工智能生成的无聊视频。我更希望我们能有更好的产品和服务,真正有效,即使它们有些粗糙,我也更愿意看到人们有工作,忙于生活中的某些事情。 也许一个不再追求无尽增长(为了逃避通货膨胀、偿还债务,无论出于何种原因)的世界会更好。而且我们可以把那些“书呆子”(不是像我们这样的工程师,我指的是那些扮演电影超级反派的恶棍)放回玩具箱,换些不同的玩具来玩。
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I&#x27;m building software for a sector that is massive, but one where you don&#x27;t really need AI. At least, not AI == LLM.<p>And before I go further, let me state up front that I do like AI coding agents. They are great as assistive tools.<p>People say that if the AI bubble pops, the economy tumbles. And okay, I mean the M7 will certainly get rekt but everyone else? Things will recover within a few years. We didn&#x27;t make it to 2026 AD taking the easy road.<p>You still need to visit the doctor. Goods still need to be delivered. Homes need to be built. We need to drill for oil. People still need to eat. And yes, unfortunately or not, we still need millions of administrators because humans are not 0&#x2F;1 systems.<p>Am I crazy to think that maybe it won&#x27;t be that bad? There are still infinite number of things to do, and maybe (call me stupid, whatever) it would be a good turning point for our species if we realize that speculative bubbles are absolutely destructive and not worth it.<p>I don&#x27;t need a personal assistant to make calls for me to get a restaurant reservation, and I certainly don&#x27;t care for AI slop videos. I would much rather we have better products and services that actually work, and even if they have rough edges I would prefer people are employed and busy doing something with their lives.<p>Maybe a world where we don&#x27;t chase endless growth (to escape inflation, pay off debts, whatever the case) would be good. And also we put nerds (not people like us, the engineers, I mean the evil dorks who cosplay as movie super villains) in the toy box again and pick up different toys this time.